Atonement
PRO: This year's The English Patient , a safe and staid British film.
CON: Hollywood remembers, 11 years too late, that it kind of hated The English Patient ; Jewish academy voters look in vain for Yom Kippur references.
Juno
PRO: The little indie movie that could, this year's Little Miss Sunshine , about a teenager who gives up her baby to a couple she finds in the pennysaver.
CON: Movie comes too late to be cautionary tale for Jamie Lynn Spears; Academy voters do not know what a Pennysaver is.
Michael Clayton
PRO: Old-fashioned, where-is-this-going, legal thriller has best little guy vs. big guy since Erin Brockovich .
CON: Legal dramas are supposed to have courtroom scenes; also, Clooney's cleavage a little disconcerting, unlikely to bring him Julia Roberts-style glory.
No Country for Old Men
PRO: Dark, suspenseful, chilling; widely admired as the Coen Brothers' greatest movie since Fargo .
CON: If we want to see a movie with bad haircuts and serial killing we'll go see Sweeney Todd .
There Will Be Blood
PRO: Oscar loves sprawling historical American epics; vampire branch of academy likes title.
CON: Most overly aggressive soundtrack since, well, Juno ; You Will Be Bored.
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