Jim Broadbent in Iris
PRO: Extra credit for his incredibly strong turn in Moulin Rouge.
CON: He has to react to, rather than be, the crazy one (a factor that may also hurt Jennifer Connelly in A Beautiful Mind.
Ethan Hawke in Training Day
PRO: Uma will wear a really great dress.
CON: He'll probably read a children's book for his acceptance speech.
Ben Kingsley in Sexy Beast
PRO: The bad-ass white dick that's down with all the chicks.
CON: Denying him award might unleash "What do you mean, no?" speech.
Ian McKellen in Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring
PRO: As Gandalf the Grey, he seems both god and monster.
CON: Sure, he's venerable, and we loved the movie, but the part has a slight posing-for-your-Burger King-action-figure quality to it.
Jon Voight in Ali
PRO: Studied work produces uncanny resemblance to Howard Cosell; added glow from fans of co-star Jamie Foxx; possibility daughter might wear a piece of macramé
CON: Voters might fear if they vote for the hair, they'll get the hair.
Jennifer Connelly in A Beautiful Mind
PRO: She has our leftover goodwill from Dark City, and she has a sensitive scene with a baby.
CON: So falling in love with Russell Crowe's an acting job? She's basically a coathanger that cries.
Helen Mirren in Gosford Park
PRO: Holds her own in a cast with more titles than King Arthur's Court; as Mirren has observed, she gets the last scene
CON: May split vote with co-star Smith; mumbly sound, most labyrinthine plot since big sleep may make it impossible for voters to tell what film's outcome is.
Maggie Smith in Gosford Park
PRO:Smith's role: the Countess dripping with evil bon mots, showier than Mirren's; glittery Hollywood may ally with upstairs rather than downstairs side of cast.
CON:May split vote with Mirren, above.
Marisa Tomei in In The Bedroom
PRO: May get pulled along by Spacek/Wilkinson momentum from actors' movie.
CON: Our lady of a thousand accents, none of them New England.
Kate Winslet in Iris
PRO:Finally, nudity! Also we are reading The Good Apprentice and think it is very funny.
CON: All this swimming around has got to stop; what if she bumps into Kevin Spacey down there?
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